For today, just a couple quick updates about the Tesla Model Y. A Model Y was spotted testing in Snow, and the CARB certification came hinting at an imminent release, and increased ranges for the Model Y.
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First up, a Model Y was spotted in the wild testing in the snow by Christopher Radoff in the northern Sierra Nevada range. Great to see a Model Y in the Snow.
What can be gleaned from this video is that Tesla is paying a little more attention to colder climates, which has been a little bit of an issue in the past since they’re headquartered in California, which rarely has snow.
Next up, The Model Y Performance officially received its CARB certification which standards for California Air Resources Board. The reason this is significant is that when Tesla received their CARB certification for the Model 3, it was 25 days before deliveries began.
So basically, the Model Y is probably finalized, and ready for production. 25 days away? Possibly, but I’m not getting my hopes up. With Model 3, delivering as soon as possible was vital for Tesla. For the Model Y, Summer 2020 is already ahead of schedule, so I don’t think they will be quite as anxious.
So, if Tesla sitting on a lot of Model Y pre-orders, the car is finalized, they got their CARB certification, and they have the capacity ready to start producing them, I don’t see why they wouldn’t start as soon as possible.
Keep in mind that Tesla always begins by delivering the most expensive model of their cars. So, with the Model Y starting production, they will more than likely begin deliveries of the Performance version.
The other aspect of the CARB certification is likely confirming something that I’ve said in all of my other videos. Tesla has still listed the top range of the Model Y long-range RWD at 300 miles, with the AWD and performance at 280 miles.
Over at Gigafactory 3 Shanghai, Tesla has officially launched their Model Y program to build the Made-In-China Model 3 for the Chinese market. Keep in mind that this Made-In-China version is only for the Chinese market. US Tesla deliveries will still be produced in Fremont, CA.
The CARB certification uses a process called Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule of UDDS to calculate the range of an electric car is absolutely perfect conditions. So before I say how many miles, keep in mind, this is by no means real-world range, and real-world ranges end up being about 70% of this number.
But, the UDDS listed the Model Y at 441.91 miles.
So, if we do some math based on how UDDS typically translates to EPA ranges, the performance should get about 309 miles of range, which is almost the same 310 miles of range as the Model 3 performance. So, still estimating here, and taking into the account the larger size of the Model Y compared with the Model 3’s true range, I’d say the Model 3 performance could be around 300 miles of EPA range when it releases.
For the Long Range RWD, the one I pre-ordered, and the cheapest available until the standard range comes next year, if we do the same calculations, we're probably looking at around 320 miles. That again is only 2 miles less than the Model 3 for a car that’s 10% bigger, and also the model 3 to with 322 miles is AWD, and these estimates aren’t perfect, so I’ll go with 310 miles.
Even so, if we get 310 miles of range, an extra 10 miles is great, especially since the useable range is never quite as high as the EPA range. So if the car releases at 310 miles, hopefully, you can actually get close to 300 miles in real life.
Again, keep in mind that these are estimates, but they’re based on Model 3 which is 75% the same as the Model Y, so they’re hopefully pretty accurate.
What do you think the final ranges of the Model Y will be? And when do you think we’ll see the first deliveries? Leave a comment below, and let me know! And once again, thank you to my 3000 subscribers, and everyone who has watched any of my videos. I really appreciate. Make sure you’re subscribed to stay up to date on everything Tesla and Model Y specifically. I’ll be doing a lot of videos, especially once I get mine delivered, so stay tuned for that, and thanks again for watching, I’ll see you in the next video.
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